0x9f873c0B254246564eAB9e35BbCc2Bb4B1e5303f-1770157832440
0x9f873c0b254246564eab9e35bbcc2bb4b1e5303f
- Realised P&L
- $-645.54
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $260.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? · Yes | 0.532 | 0.205 | $259.71 | −$413.89 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No | 0.360 | 0.355 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? · No | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.31 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April? · No | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.20 |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.99 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in April 2026? · Yes | 0.291 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.79 |
| Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · No | 0.528 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.84 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.416 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.28 |
| Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? · No | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.98at 0.734Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$23.68at 0.596Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
- +$20.69at 0.580Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
- +$20.39at 0.896US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$11.17at 0.803Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 22:34 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $15.00 |
| 05-12 20:07 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 05-12 20:07 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6386212324 | $109.54 |
| 05-12 20:06 | Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $55.22 |
| 05-12 11:44 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.907 | $243.80 |
| 05-11 20:48 | Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.81 |
| 05-11 20:48 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.45 |
| 05-11 20:47 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $74.64 |
| 05-11 20:38 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | SELL | 0.8108446626 | $64.41 |
| 05-10 21:10 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $40.80 |
| 05-10 21:09 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.914 | $5.59 |
| 05-10 15:08 | Will Putin visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.46 |
| 05-04 06:05 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | SELL | 0.85 | $27.48 |
| 04-29 20:01 | Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? | SELL | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 04-29 17:29 | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April? | BUY | 0.0373330148 | $21.00 |