0x9F1253565F85Ebd391dA53f477416ea768004e57-1767527718557
0x9f1253565f85ebd391da53f477416ea768004e57
- Realised P&L
- $182.28
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $35.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$750.92at 0.540U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?
- +$196.91at 0.199U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?
- +$68.11at 0.370U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?
- +$40.00at 0.800US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$11.28at 0.780U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 12:56 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1792828621 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 19:19 | Will Trump resign before 2027? | BUY | 0.0548151769 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 19:19 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.2399999942 | $25.00 |
| 07-18 19:14 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27? | BUY | 0.3899999978 | $58.00 |
| 07-18 19:13 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26? | BUY | 0.3892215535 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 19:12 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-12 10:19 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 03-25 16:58 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 02-24 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $9.97 |
| 01-25 09:52 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BUY | 0.329999995 | $40.00 |
| 01-20 22:22 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $51.00 |
| 01-17 16:18 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $60.00 |
| 01-17 16:13 | U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999945 | $40.00 |
| 01-16 15:12 | U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7800979823 | $40.00 |
| 01-15 08:46 | Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds? | BUY | 0.2481077273 | $54.58 |