PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x9F1253565F85Ebd391dA53f477416ea768004e57-1767527718557

0x9f1253565f85ebd391da53f477416ea768004e57

Realised P&L
$182.28
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$35.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2400.175$18.23$6.77
Will Trump resign before 2027? · Yes0.0550.037$13.50$6.50
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0500.082$4.10+$1.60
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$17.00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.2600.000$0.00$10.00
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$20.00
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? · Yes0.2680.000$0.00$86.00
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$10.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$58.00
Will Leavitt say "Mainstream" during the next White House press briefing? · Yes0.3760.000$0.00$37.60
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$50.00
ICE shooter charged by March 31? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$19.60
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00$50.00
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$72.00
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$46.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 12:56Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1792828621$20.00
07-18 19:19Will Trump resign before 2027?BUY0.0548151769$20.00
07-18 19:19Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2399999942$25.00
07-18 19:14Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?BUY0.3899999978$58.00
07-18 19:13Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?BUY0.3892215535$50.00
07-18 19:12Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.1799999976$50.00
06-12 10:19Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?BUY0.359999987$10.00
03-25 16:58US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?BUY0.4$10.00
02-24 13:38Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.91$9.97
01-25 09:52Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?BUY0.329999995$40.00
01-20 22:22US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.17$51.00
01-17 16:18US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2$60.00
01-17 16:13U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?BUY0.3699999945$40.00
01-16 15:12U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?BUY0.7800979823$40.00
01-15 08:46Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds?BUY0.2481077273$54.58