0x9f05d54f6Fc763cc913292A4454cfEe066AC1499-1769504988871
0x9f05d54f6fc763cc913292a4454cfee066ac1499
- Realised P&L
- $-49.16
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 358
- Open portfolio
- $4.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded358
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.430 | 0.365 | $4.24 | −$0.76 |
| Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.032 | $0.72 | −$5.13 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5 · Under | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.32 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.17at 0.843Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7AM ET
- +$1.50at 0.830Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.24at 0.876Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3PM ET
- +$1.16at 0.931Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3PM ET
- +$0.94at 0.900Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 04:48 | Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.11 |
| 07-29 04:48 | Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | BUY | 0.2799999408 | $2.27 |
| 07-12 08:49 | Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.35 |
| 07-12 08:05 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $5.29 |
| 07-12 08:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $5.47 |
| 07-08 12:16 | Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.72 |
| 07-08 12:16 | Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.55 |
| 07-06 09:43 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $178 Week of July 6 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $4.24 |
| 07-05 01:36 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.93 |
| 07-05 01:26 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | SELL | 0.984 | $6.53 |
| 07-03 04:24 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.51 |
| 07-03 04:22 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31? | BUY | 0.9399999924 | $4.94 |
| 06-05 01:08 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $5.66 |
| 06-05 01:08 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 162.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $5.66 |
| 06-04 20:39 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |