PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

vadermike

0x9e6826719160ea474596a5910e74a1f6b947d03f

Realised P&L
$-8.7k
Volume
$164.2k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$260.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1300.051$113.77$173.42
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.0970.044$92.40$111.30
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1510.045$22.50$53.25
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1450.027$12.17$53.27
Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.035$10.35$31.65
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2290.060$5.72$16.10
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1470.040$2.95$8.02
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.024$0.48$1.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$103.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$200.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$384.80
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$578.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-13 22:36Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2274979691$8.40
04-13 22:34Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.155$6.51
04-13 22:33Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$2.98
04-13 22:32Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$1.48
04-05 02:03US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.13$0.65
04-05 02:00US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.13$282.34
04-05 01:58Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.097$203.70
04-05 01:54Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.175$8.75
04-05 01:53Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1599714693$4.49
04-05 01:53Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1572721235$9.47
04-05 01:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.51$196.00
04-05 01:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.029$98.96
04-05 01:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?BUY0.097$62.99
04-05 01:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?BUY0.097$27.00
04-05 01:44Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$2.80