Lamberthdf
0x9df4acb41ac5bc8f7625377e31312d6fc5f85e5f
- Realised P&L
- $109.20
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $19.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $30 on August 6? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.994 | $19.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$419.81at 0.500Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$410.85at 0.500Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?
- +$409.36at 0.500Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$172.10at 0.500Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$95.62at 0.500Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:43 | Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.84 |
| 08-03 02:42 | Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $841.31 |
| 08-03 02:42 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.997 | $346.96 |
| 08-03 02:42 | Will the price of Solana be above $30 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:41 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.70 |
| 08-03 02:40 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.997 | $212.78 |
| 08-03 02:39 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.997 | $638.36 |
| 08-03 02:38 | Will the price of Solana be above $30 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9989999343 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 02:38 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.998 | $852.00 |
| 07-28 07:21 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $32.66 |
| 07-28 07:18 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? | SELL | 0.998 | $823.35 |
| 07-28 07:18 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.83 |
| 07-28 07:17 | Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.82 |
| 07-28 07:17 | Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $820.36 |
| 07-28 07:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |