nezha9
0x9dee8e41789a11cbf3fe6085eeea449c59b4a0f4
- Realised P&L
- $-755.08
- Volume
- $432.8k
- Markets traded
- 555
- Open portfolio
- $100.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded555
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.306 | 0.049 | $76.07 | −$399.49 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.004 | $9.84 | −$490.16 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.002 | $6.98 | −$293.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.002 | $6.40 | −$136.79 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Down | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.91 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Up | 0.665 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$162.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.280Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$2.2kat 0.210Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$2.0kat 0.110Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?
- +$1.6kat 0.530Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
- +$1.4kat 0.411Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 04:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.3063451777 | $475.56 |
| 07-28 13:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0335711992 | $143.19 |
| 07-28 13:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0859137998 | $300.00 |
| 07-28 13:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.2286191401 | $500.00 |
| 07-27 09:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4979491839 | $46.91 |
| 07-27 09:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.1094131065 | $51.32 |
| 07-27 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999987 | $96.50 |
| 07-27 09:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4801374943 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 09:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $99.88 |
| 07-27 09:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999985 | $92.53 |
| 07-27 08:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6647334235 | $162.00 |
| 07-19 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3684730591 | $95.09 |
| 07-19 19:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999985 | $91.00 |
| 07-19 19:31 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3024999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 19:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $137.78 |