baol
0x9da5ce766099520fec8f3c005e37dd8017e1f5a3
- Realised P&L
- $11.51
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITF Chacabuco: Lorena Schaedel vs Justina Gonzalez Daniele · Lorena Schaedel | 0.500 | 0.495 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Suns vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Cervia (Doubles): Loof/Poljak vs Forti/Romano · Loof/Poljak | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bengaluru 3: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Petr Bar Biryukov · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Sabres vs. Hurricanes · Sabres | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Bulls vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Rams vs. Seahawks · Rams | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.79at 0.460Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
- +$19.18at 0.610Lakers vs. Cavaliers
- +$14.81at 0.340Celtics vs. Rockets
- +$8.08at 0.380Pelicans vs. Bucks
- +$4.50at 0.400Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:52 | ITF Chacabuco: Lorena Schaedel vs Justina Gonzalez Daniele | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 08:13 | T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Derbyshire | BUY | 0.3899999437 | $3.60 |
| 06-09 03:18 | Bratislava: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Chun-Hsin Tseng | BUY | 0.709999997 | $40.00 |
| 05-21 05:29 | Bengaluru 3: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Petr Bar Biryukov | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 05:28 | Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 05-21 05:25 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |
| 05-21 05:25 | Cervia (Doubles): Loof/Poljak vs Forti/Romano | BUY | 0.4399999707 | $3.00 |
| 03-27 01:31 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | BUY | 0.4599999933 | $28.57 |
| 02-04 05:23 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $179.82 |
| 02-04 05:22 | Celtics vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.3399999777 | $7.63 |
| 02-04 05:15 | Timberwolves vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.4899999871 | $8.00 |
| 02-04 05:11 | Pelicans vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.38 | $4.95 |
| 02-04 05:09 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $180.00 |
| 01-28 04:26 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $151.84 |
| 01-28 04:24 | Lakers vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.6099999949 | $30.00 |