PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

topple

0x9d68308c0d00cc0a42baaf6d843d0a29ae6687c9

Realised P&L
$-5.17
Volume
$12.0k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$132.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9940.997$130.88+$0.33
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? · Yes0.8400.845$2.01+$0.01
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1130.002$0.03$1.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 10:10Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?BUY0.8399996472$2.00
06-25 13:44Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.996$1.2k
06-25 13:44Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.1129999438$2.00
06-25 13:44Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
04-26 12:24Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.994$130.55
04-26 12:24US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
04-26 12:23Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.996$3.1k
04-11 22:57Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.996$3.1k
09-07 21:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.1$1.00
09-07 21:06Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-09-08?BUY0.74$1.00
09-07 21:06Wings vs. SparksBUY0.8$1.00
06-28 15:02Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $47–51M?BUY0.9889998383$2.00
06-28 15:02Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $43–47M?BUY0.996$3.00
03-04 15:07Will Crystal Palace vs. Ipswich end in a draw?BUY0.8099999922$2.09
03-04 15:06Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-08?BUY0.75$2.00
Trader topple · PolyBot