PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

XerxesGale

0x9d4822acef0aa21800009049a9896137660a75ff

Realised P&L
$49.46
Volume
$369.34
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$36.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Brasov: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Santamarta · Maks Kasnikowski0.8101.000$9.38+$1.78
Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Alex Barrena · Gustavo Heide0.8501.000$8.59+$1.29
Brasov: Andrej Nedic vs Franco Roncadelli · Andrej Nedic0.7401.000$6.76+$1.76
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30? · No0.7501.000$4.00+$1.00
X banned in any European country by December 31? · No0.6500.835$3.85+$0.85
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.3390.410$3.63+$0.63
Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Ognjen Milic · Eero Vasa0.7000.000$0.00$4.55
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox0.4500.000$0.00$4.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$5.00
Brasov: Lautaro Midon vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · Lautaro Midon0.8200.000$0.00$9.00
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 08:16Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Alex BarrenaBUY0.8499999942$7.30
07-01 08:16Brasov: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres SantamartaBUY0.809999984$7.60
07-01 08:16Brasov: Andrej Nedic vs Franco RoncadelliBUY0.7399999674$5.00
07-01 08:16Brasov: Lautaro Midon vs Sascha Gueymard-WayenburgBUY0.8199999909$9.00
06-26 07:36ITF Kamen: Oleksii Krutykh vs Michel HoppBUY0.85$8.00
06-26 07:36Lexus Eastbourne Open: Petra Marcinko vs Madison KeysBUY0.8499999953$9.00
06-26 07:34UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.8399999944$6.00
06-24 10:03UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.8$6.00
06-24 10:03UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.7699999877$5.00
06-24 10:01Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Ognjen MilicBUY0.7$4.55
06-20 07:11Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.4899999804$5.00
06-20 07:11Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.4699999542$4.00
06-20 07:10Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.4499999831$4.00
06-20 07:10Dublin (Doubles): Mackinlay/Whitehouse vs Bayldon/HarperBUY0.7299999791$7.00
05-25 14:48UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.5099999994$60.00