XerxesGale
0x9d4822acef0aa21800009049a9896137660a75ff
- Realised P&L
- $49.46
- Volume
- $369.34
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $36.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasov: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Santamarta · Maks Kasnikowski | 0.810 | 1.000 | $9.38 | +$1.78 |
| Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Alex Barrena · Gustavo Heide | 0.850 | 1.000 | $8.59 | +$1.29 |
| Brasov: Andrej Nedic vs Franco Roncadelli · Andrej Nedic | 0.740 | 1.000 | $6.76 | +$1.76 |
| Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $4.00 | +$1.00 |
| X banned in any European country by December 31? · No | 0.650 | 0.835 | $3.85 | +$0.85 |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes | 0.339 | 0.410 | $3.63 | +$0.63 |
| Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Ognjen Milic · Eero Vasa | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.55 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Brasov: Lautaro Midon vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · Lautaro Midon | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.20at 0.500Sabres vs. Bruins
- +$16.02at 0.510Penguins vs. Flyers
- +$5.20at 0.490Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$4.51at 0.470Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$2.64at 0.820UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 08:16 | Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Alex Barrena | BUY | 0.8499999942 | $7.30 |
| 07-01 08:16 | Brasov: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Santamarta | BUY | 0.809999984 | $7.60 |
| 07-01 08:16 | Brasov: Andrej Nedic vs Franco Roncadelli | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 08:16 | Brasov: Lautaro Midon vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | BUY | 0.8199999909 | $9.00 |
| 06-26 07:36 | ITF Kamen: Oleksii Krutykh vs Michel Hopp | BUY | 0.85 | $8.00 |
| 06-26 07:36 | Lexus Eastbourne Open: Petra Marcinko vs Madison Keys | BUY | 0.8499999953 | $9.00 |
| 06-26 07:34 | UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.8399999944 | $6.00 |
| 06-24 10:03 | UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.8 | $6.00 |
| 06-24 10:03 | UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 10:01 | Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Ognjen Milic | BUY | 0.7 | $4.55 |
| 06-20 07:11 | Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 07:11 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4699999542 | $4.00 |
| 06-20 07:10 | Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.4499999831 | $4.00 |
| 06-20 07:10 | Dublin (Doubles): Mackinlay/Whitehouse vs Bayldon/Harper | BUY | 0.7299999791 | $7.00 |
| 05-25 14:48 | UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5099999994 | $60.00 |