0x9d3B64Ad02d5F8dD6d341977405d3112E6719240-1761448427145
0x9d3b64ad02d5f8dd6d341977405d3112e6719240
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $35.5k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $259.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Databricks IPO before 2027? · No | 0.791 | 0.910 | $209.30 | +$27.30 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes | 0.343 | 0.105 | $42.00 | −$95.00 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.348 | 0.027 | $8.64 | −$102.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$420.00at 0.547Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$310.11at 0.750Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
- +$190.26at 0.683Will "Call of Duty: Black Ops 7" have a Metascore less than 75?
- +$139.00at 0.861Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
- +$115.97at 0.884Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 07:47 | Databricks IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $60.00 |
| 06-15 16:09 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $24.00 |
| 06-15 16:07 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.311256 | $31.13 |
| 06-15 15:43 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 06-15 14:47 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $4.80 |
| 06-15 10:57 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 06-15 04:30 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $45.60 |
| 06-14 22:41 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.7177809798 | $62.27 |
| 06-14 12:18 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 06-14 10:57 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 06-14 10:56 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 06-14 00:46 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 06-11 13:23 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.833 | $51.65 |
| 06-11 12:11 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 10:30 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.809 | $31.55 |