Countryperson54
0x9cffab33337ab4f177dfdb22d176ccfac21fbd0f
- Realised P&L
- $43.46
- Volume
- $37.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $17.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Up | 0.090 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$9.10 |
| Nick Fuentes federally charged? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.035 | $7.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 60 or more times during next White House press briefing? · Yes | 0.975 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.99 |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.00at 0.001Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
- +$12.24at 0.290Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$5.67at 0.150Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
- +$3.29at 0.820Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?
- +$2.70at 0.270Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 10:39 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.8499999745 | $15.00 |
| 03-20 10:39 | Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025? | BUY | 0.8199999923 | $15.00 |
| 03-20 10:31 | Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 60 or more times during next White House press briefing? | BUY | 0.9751243771 | $10.00 |
| 03-20 10:30 | Will Trump pardon 1,250-1,499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 10:30 | Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0014778614 | $13.00 |
| 03-20 10:29 | Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 10:29 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 18:25 | Debate Bingo - Card 1 | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:25 | Kamala x Trump debate most viewed ever? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:25 | Debate Bingo - Card 3 | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:25 | Debate Bingo - Card 2 | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:25 | Who will gain more in polls after the debate? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:25 | Will the Debate finish by 10:30 PM? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:25 | Who is asked the first debate question? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:25 | Who will speak more at the debate? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |