ebait2
0x9cb560bf28c6029429aadadc03d49f7b5c4c5a72
- Realised P&L
- $-77.94
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $6.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.35at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 5?
- +$4.20at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?
- +$4.10at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 6?
- +$4.08at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 3?
- +$4.08at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.92 |
| 08-04 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.92 |
| 08-04 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2099999169 | $1.92 |
| 08-04 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.90 |
| 08-04 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.81 |
| 08-04 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.29 | $0.99 |
| 08-03 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.90 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.84 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0600391304 | $1.38 |
| 08-03 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.20 |
| 08-03 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.91 |
| 08-03 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.92 |
| 08-02 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.91 |
| 08-02 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |