0x9cAC70082a1e20CD601259269A51A45f830b1c16-1762137064081
0x9cac70082a1e20cd601259269a51a45f830b1c16
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $29.7k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.00at 0.640Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$76.00at 0.620Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
- +$73.50at 0.510Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$72.00at 0.840Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
- +$39.62at 0.936S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 16:14 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.906 | $91.44 |
| 03-17 12:40 | Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.98 |
| 03-15 23:49 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.02966395 | $5.93 |
| 03-15 03:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2346190772 | $98.39 |
| 03-15 03:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.57 | $13.56 |
| 03-15 02:32 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.857 | $85.64 |
| 03-13 14:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13? | SELL | 0.74 | $148.00 |
| 03-06 12:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6? | SELL | 0.94 | $70.16 |
| 03-06 11:48 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $79.83 |
| 03-03 00:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.49 |
| 03-01 12:41 | USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $500.46 |
| 02-28 18:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SELL | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 02-28 12:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | BUY | 0.0860909091 | $18.94 |
| 02-25 22:05 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.0k |
| 01-04 22:55 | Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.8 | $244.05 |