Javadj111
0x9bf2907c83f7088015621b6f28a98719a7d746dc
- Realised P&L
- $-17.50
- Volume
- $781.06
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $3.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? · Down | 0.340 | 0.765 | $2.25 | +$1.25 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.205 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.009 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Down | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.45at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$7.63at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$5.45at 0.355Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$5.22at 0.277Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$4.35at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.051000003 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $0.67 |
| 08-02 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |