Toporceanu
0x9b8741e0e1c4a753f14a2142369c710cf239a20a
- Realised P&L
- $-12.0k
- Volume
- $1.16M
- Markets traded
- 2,152
- Open portfolio
- $145.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,152
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$557.72at 0.380Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$500.51at 0.968Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 11?
- +$362.51at 0.925Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
- +$299.23at 0.893Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$275.88at 0.008Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.69 |
| 08-03 20:11 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $336.60 |
| 08-03 20:10 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $252.45 |
| 08-03 20:09 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $591.71 |
| 08-03 19:54 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 3? | BUY | 0.975 | $570.00 |
| 08-03 19:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.997 | $214.35 |
| 08-03 19:37 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 3? | BUY | 0.9749 | $584.94 |
| 08-03 19:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.995850031 | $642.32 |
| 08-03 16:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.993 | $754.68 |
| 08-03 14:31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 08-03 14:24 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $281.83 |
| 08-02 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $114.80 |
| 07-31 19:44 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9878076923 | $205.46 |
| 07-31 18:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.9794348829 | $292.85 |
| 07-31 17:48 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on July 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $386.10 |