PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ash3erman

0x9aca4d50c5c279f9c8429c31dbbce097e25f61fd

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$269.5k
Markets traded
1,234
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,234
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? · Yes0.8620.816$1.3k$73.47
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.6920.915$1.1k+$268.62
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.7350.977$617.57+$152.60
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes0.4580.322$333.99$140.86
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? · Yes0.5930.520$207.67$29.01
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0810.015$157.00$724.56
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.2200.335$95.17+$32.56
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7040.747$48.84+$2.75
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Nothing0.9190.967$37.59+$1.87
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves0.5580.545$36.37$0.85
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6200.655$32.71+$1.75
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.3250.445$32.00+$8.63
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.8460.977$29.21+$3.90
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.7070.675$21.44$1.03
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Under0.4900.340$13.76$6.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:17Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5BUY0.4961565547$499.52
08-02 14:16Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 194.5BUY0.56$190.62
08-02 11:59Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.65$0.40
08-02 09:01Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5BUY0.5$15.50
08-01 18:03Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 193.5BUY0.49$8.58
08-01 18:03Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 193.5BUY0.4799646943$33.99
08-01 12:36Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5BUY0.51$10.95
08-01 12:36Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5BUY0.51$19.62
08-01 12:36Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5BUY0.51$34.92
08-01 12:36Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5BUY0.51$54.30
08-01 12:36Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5BUY0.51$76.74
08-01 12:35Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5BUY0.51$102.24
08-01 12:35Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5BUY0.51$132.81
08-01 08:49Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?SELL0.38$141.16
07-31 23:59Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.3799999995$225.68