Pedro1414
0x9a817c446ca66b8859e77f4716a785dc7e76d324
- Realised P&L
- $-143.1k
- Volume
- $73.95M
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $37.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.040 | $34.87 | −$69.41 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.780 | 0.885 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.946 | 0.973 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$497.98 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$208.69 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.4k |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.92 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes | 0.596 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.41at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$174.46at 0.626Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
- +$135.47at 0.407Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$114.91at 0.637Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
- +$107.69at 0.520US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 23:12 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 04-30 20:07 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $43.20 |
| 04-30 20:07 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 20:04 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $312.08 |
| 04-30 19:59 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.30 |
| 04-30 19:59 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0049004501 | $676.86 |
| 04-30 19:59 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $222.22 |
| 04-30 19:58 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $952.79 |
| 04-30 19:57 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $60.00 |
| 04-30 19:57 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 04-30 19:57 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $168.61 |
| 04-30 19:49 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.0k |
| 04-30 19:31 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.0k |
| 04-29 22:46 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $591.62 |
| 04-29 18:20 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.2k |