0x9A71153a1e4253FE365D7090358D8Ed2DE3349bc-1726601109625
0x9a71153a1e4253fe365d7090358d8ed2de3349bc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $41.4k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $9.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $6B? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.125 | $4.92 | −$1.38 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.175 | $2.63 | −$6.38 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.117 | $2.35 | +$0.55 |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$248.00 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.17 |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.744 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$598.33at 0.378Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$526.99at 0.653Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?
- +$132.32at 0.430FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
- +$131.97at 0.290Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-14?
- +$122.89at 0.830Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 20:17 | Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5999999869 | $9.17 |
| 06-22 21:23 | France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $146.72 |
| 06-22 21:20 | France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $148.55 |
| 06-22 20:32 | France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8193221618 | $121.84 |
| 06-22 14:56 | Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7599999987 | $93.09 |
| 06-21 19:25 | Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7199999998 | $300.00 |
| 06-21 19:25 | Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7699999994 | $300.00 |
| 06-21 18:01 | Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7899999996 | $248.00 |
| 06-21 00:05 | Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8599999996 | $200.00 |
| 06-19 23:30 | Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $300.00 |
| 06-19 23:27 | Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.8539760483 | $1.1k |
| 06-13 00:31 | Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3781757194 | $475.57 |
| 06-13 00:31 | Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3765719895 | $500.00 |
| 06-02 15:05 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.92 |
| 06-02 15:02 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $100.00 |