Warddfv
0x9a67bae50d6bd50f3bbd5863356fd2df3d98e98c
- Realised P&L
- $-18.70
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $18.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Bournemouth vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.555 | $18.32 | +$2.81 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.343 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.23 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.25 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.46at 0.500Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$84.80at 0.500Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$66.96at 0.500Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?
- +$23.90at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- +$22.85at 0.270Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:57 | AFC Bournemouth vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $15.51 |
| 07-21 07:24 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | BUY | 0.31 | $8.68 |
| 07-10 08:40 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $36.96 |
| 07-10 08:39 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3425 | $21.24 |
| 07-10 08:37 | Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.00 |
| 06-22 12:14 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.45 |
| 06-10 03:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $22.97 |
| 06-10 03:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.00 |
| 06-06 03:36 | Will Mario Almici win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election? | BUY | 0.69 | $24.36 |
| 05-12 08:53 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $20.25 |
| 04-30 09:14 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 April 27-May 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 09:14 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $47.90 |
| 04-30 09:13 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 04-30 09:13 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 April 27-May 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 03-27 03:26 | Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $31.97 |