pphdxfvjkx5jcg
0x9a1aea93fa0de53d9f20dbc61704355cf39d00fe
- Realised P&L
- $106.79
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $158.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $200 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.993 | $146.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $11.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.60at 0.657Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$15.89at 0.638Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$15.85at 0.4602024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
- +$14.01at 0.517Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$13.00at 0.870Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:01 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 08-04 10:00 | Will BNB dip to $200 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $147.00 |
| 07-19 08:33 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.9969999019 | $8.00 |
| 07-19 08:33 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-19 08:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $194.00 |
| 06-14 11:47 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $160.00 |
| 06-14 11:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8010792622 | $40.00 |
| 06-14 11:40 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9869754433 | $130.00 |
| 06-08 09:18 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.00 |
| 06-08 09:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $270.00 |
| 05-21 00:51 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999943 | $150.00 |
| 05-03 10:03 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May? | BUY | 0.996999996 | $225.00 |
| 05-03 10:02 | Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9959390018 | $150.00 |
| 05-03 10:00 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.9929999933 | $142.00 |
| 04-20 03:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.9949999871 | $64.97 |