0x99D13b89a392E987fe43f0c4b863565124a7d5C1-1761670434174
0x99d13b89a392e987fe43f0c4b863565124a7d5c1
- Realised P&L
- $-638.37
- Volume
- $211.3k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $439.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$611.64at 0.020Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$317.60at 0.117Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$143.97at 0.050Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$47.37at 0.001Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?
- +$44.98at 0.026Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 10:30 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.90 |
| 07-07 08:57 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.51 |
| 07-07 08:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $18.00 |
| 07-01 14:39 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $16.88 |
| 07-01 13:14 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.98 |
| 07-01 05:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.015 | $1.25 |
| 07-01 03:20 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 06-29 05:27 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $15.29 |
| 06-27 06:29 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.051 | $63.36 |
| 06-27 06:28 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.052 | $10.54 |
| 06-27 06:28 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.053 | $21.28 |
| 06-27 06:05 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.054 | $10.46 |
| 06-25 16:52 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $29.64 |
| 06-12 15:20 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.81 |
| 06-06 05:57 | Will Iran Play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $8.00 |