PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x998312a504c165bb0f7fa3b9f97d1ec2e7acb4a6

Realised P&L
$-3.49
Volume
$128.89
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$12.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7200.974$6.76+$1.76
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July? · Yes0.3260.384$5.88+$0.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:44Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?BUY0.3259999627$5.00
08-01 19:05Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
08-01 11:03Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6899999253$2.31
07-29 15:27New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-29 07:00Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-28 18:52Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.6599998949$2.01
07-28 10:49Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.45$1.53
07-27 23:33Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.39$1.17
07-27 09:18Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.43$1.29
07-26 21:09Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-26 09:08Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.463999957$4.23
07-25 21:07Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.6499997374$1.98
07-25 09:06Will Trump say "Loan" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.7399999632$2.01
07-24 21:06Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
07-24 09:05Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?BUY0.25$1.64