0x99492d55c6b41611B36bc3c97e217FE7adbB83A4-1767476397716
0x99492d55c6b41611b36bc3c97e217fe7adbb83a4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $64.2k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $285.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.049 | $285.34 | −$284.66 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Down | 0.546 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up | 0.762 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.7k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$492.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.318Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
- +$600.78at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$596.53at 0.847Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
- +$472.30at 0.690Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$459.59at 0.690Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 23:39 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.0978823077 | $570.00 |
| 02-16 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7611146838 | $3.6k |
| 02-16 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.828514527 | $44.17 |
| 02-16 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3460313656 | $194.88 |
| 02-16 17:01 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | SELL | 0.999 | $3.9k |
| 02-16 16:08 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | BUY | 0.8960601132 | $423.23 |
| 02-16 16:08 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.16 | $423.24 |
| 02-16 16:07 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | BUY | 0.8807275429 | $2.4k |
| 02-16 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.4k |
| 02-16 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8065309489 | $2.0k |
| 02-16 15:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6995645069 | $1.4k |
| 02-16 15:50 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6837213175 | $1.4k |
| 02-16 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5462749124 | $2.1k |
| 02-16 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4089995477 | $485.39 |
| 02-16 15:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.0783185535 | $13.60 |