0x9902cc1ffb582e079c902380b655fdc3afb534b3
- Realised P&L
- $-87.6k
- Volume
- $4.21M
- Markets traded
- 1,949
- Open portfolio
- $205.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,949
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.9kat 0.535Oilers vs. Utah
- +$14.5kat 0.590Warriors vs. Suns
- +$12.9kat 0.489Lightning vs. Sabres
- +$9.0kat 0.265Pelicans vs. Kings
- +$8.3kat 0.498Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 13:06 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $38.29 |
| 07-15 13:06 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $44.08 |
| 07-15 13:06 | Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | SELL | 0.986 | $94.35 |
| 07-14 14:02 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $94.59 |
| 07-05 03:10 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.11 |
| 07-03 23:46 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.13 |
| 06-29 06:16 | Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $45.01 |
| 06-29 06:15 | Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | SELL | 0.978 | $53.41 |
| 06-29 06:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.877 | $55.28 |
| 06-29 06:15 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $56.84 |
| 06-29 06:15 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $57.94 |
| 06-29 06:15 | Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $62.84 |
| 06-29 06:14 | US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $94.83 |
| 06-26 17:58 | Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | BUY | 0.8699996163 | $1.95 |
| 06-26 17:56 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.21 |