ludocycle
0x9832c77e3ab963f32c91dd90189f42f488d26e4d
- Realised P&L
- $303.14
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $89.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.325 | $48.74 | −$2.25 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.280 | $42.00 | −$3.00 |
| Stuttgart Open: Roman Safiullin vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · Roman Safiullin | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · Yes | 0.369 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Donostia San Sebastian Klasikoa? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.09at 0.055Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner
- +$88.85at 0.542Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$41.98at 0.550Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$40.87at 0.190Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$38.02at 0.381Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:39 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.26 | $10.75 |
| 08-03 17:42 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 08-03 17:42 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 17:36 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 17:35 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 08-03 12:20 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.3689999801 | $11.00 |
| 08-03 01:09 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.9007692308 | $117.10 |
| 08-03 01:07 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | SELL | 0.4061481432 | $30.18 |
| 08-02 19:19 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.78 | $101.40 |
| 08-02 18:24 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.1210894657 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 18:21 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.22 | $10.71 |
| 08-02 16:43 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.2 | $25.04 |
| 08-02 16:38 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.2299999825 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 16:38 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.2299999825 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 16:38 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.2299999825 | $8.00 |