0x982822F06fBe210702ec3555e52402A7af176600-1771942263880
0x982822f06fbe210702ec3555e52402a7af176600
- Realised P&L
- $636.47
- Volume
- $108.6k
- Markets traded
- 488
- Open portfolio
- $61.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded488
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.961 | $61.47 | −$0.74 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 15? · No | 0.988 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.24at 0.523Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$18.13at 0.524Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$13.92at 0.962Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?
- +$10.31at 0.959Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?
- +$9.23at 0.684Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:06 | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $52.94 |
| 08-03 04:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $78.92 |
| 08-03 04:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $78.92 |
| 08-03 04:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $313.69 |
| 08-03 04:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $314.69 |
| 08-02 15:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.981 | $309.01 |
| 08-02 14:43 | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 2? | BUY | 0.981 | $51.98 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.985 | $309.29 |
| 08-02 04:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.972 | $62.21 |
| 08-01 16:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.981 | $16.68 |
| 08-01 16:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.983 | $77.66 |
| 08-01 16:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.979 | $77.34 |
| 08-01 16:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.989 | $61.32 |
| 08-01 16:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.985 | $29.55 |
| 08-01 16:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $248.75 |