PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Gluckyklucky

0x97d37d16d1774785197bfa23ffed625a8e493f3c

Realised P&L
$16.1k
Volume
$1.55M
Markets traded
653
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded653
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7620.775$1.1k+$19.54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No0.9080.945$850.51+$33.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1490.140$159.36$10.81
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4590.330$151.29$59.20
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2610.120$119.87$141.10
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.905$75.28+$3.74
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · No0.7900.925$30.28+$4.42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.6200.000$0.00$524.68
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.8120.000$0.00$425.64
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.0670.000$0.00$22.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 00:05Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.38$9.50
08-01 21:21Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.81$82.53
08-01 21:06Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?SELL0.98048$196.10
08-01 19:31Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?SELL0.92$117.53
07-31 23:50Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.985$145.80
07-31 21:39Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.52$4.61
07-31 21:33Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?BUY0.73$73.00
07-31 16:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.35$92.65
07-31 16:21Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.95$47.50
07-31 11:49Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0268571673$9.40
07-30 17:55Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3$8.75
07-30 15:03Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.31$15.53
07-30 09:11Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.36$7.20
07-29 19:20Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.17$85.00
07-29 19:01Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.36$14.81