Gluckyklucky
0x97d37d16d1774785197bfa23ffed625a8e493f3c
- Realised P&L
- $16.1k
- Volume
- $1.55M
- Markets traded
- 653
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded653
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.762 | 0.775 | $1.1k | +$19.54 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.908 | 0.945 | $850.51 | +$33.50 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.140 | $159.36 | −$10.81 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.330 | $151.29 | −$59.20 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.120 | $119.87 | −$141.10 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.905 | $75.28 | +$3.74 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · No | 0.790 | 0.925 | $30.28 | +$4.42 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$524.68 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.812 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$425.64 |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$876.79at 0.406Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?
- +$653.26at 0.985Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
- +$650.22at 0.985US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$528.97at 0.419US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$510.60at 0.103Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:05 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $9.50 |
| 08-01 21:21 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $82.53 |
| 08-01 21:06 | Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98048 | $196.10 |
| 08-01 19:31 | Ukraine coup attempt by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $117.53 |
| 07-31 23:50 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $145.80 |
| 07-31 21:39 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $4.61 |
| 07-31 21:33 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 07-31 16:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $92.65 |
| 07-31 16:21 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 07-31 11:49 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0268571673 | $9.40 |
| 07-30 17:55 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $8.75 |
| 07-30 15:03 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.53 |
| 07-30 09:11 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 07-29 19:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 07-29 19:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $14.81 |