AmericanVenom
0x97688869415e588cad1a0f41e59a72efffa207c0
- Realised P&L
- $-65.67
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $13.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.135 | $6.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.126 | $3.89 | +$0.48 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.285 | $2.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.110 | $0.96 | −$1.04 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Down | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.78 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.63at 0.640Pacers vs. Suns
- +$4.57at 0.180Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$4.05at 0.420US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
- +$3.93at 0.337Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
- +$3.85at 0.570Red Wings vs. Sharks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 05:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 05:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $2.52 |
| 06-13 05:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 05:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.78 |
| 06-13 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $1.24 |
| 06-13 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 05:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 00:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.60 |
| 06-07 00:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 00:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 06-06 23:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $1.16 |
| 06-06 23:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 06-06 23:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $1.24 |
| 06-06 23:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |