0x974b5486acc4cef0b9655c35a2c9286d996b3ce5
- Realised P&L
- $-61.54
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $3.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.095 | $1.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.038 | $1.16 | −$0.31 |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.146 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.017 | $0.23 | −$1.27 |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.50at 0.250Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$1.25at 0.120Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?
- +$0.12at 0.980France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$-0.55at 0.110France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
- +$-1.00at 0.061Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 00:13 | Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.049 | $1.47 |
| 07-24 00:12 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 00:08 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million? | BUY | 0.060999945 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 19:36 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million? | BUY | 0.0829999292 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 10:18 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 10:04 | Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next? | BUY | 0.1099999399 | $1.50 |
| 07-20 10:01 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.0025 | $5.84 |
| 07-19 21:36 | Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.064 | $1.93 |
| 07-19 21:35 | Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.072 | $3.41 |
| 07-19 21:34 | Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.079 | $1.54 |
| 07-19 21:34 | Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.101 | $0.05 |
| 07-19 21:05 | Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3029999673 | $3.86 |
| 07-19 21:05 | Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.266 | $2.35 |
| 07-19 21:05 | Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.141 | $3.09 |