0x973ff1aadafe182f9651833aea45acf2abe94815
- Realised P&L
- $269.24
- Volume
- $36.6k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $392.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.61at 0.125Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$82.11at 0.416Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$36.65at 0.418Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$14.39at 0.410Valorant: NAVI Junior vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs
- +$7.89at 0.559Valorant: Fennel vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 23:56 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 18:28 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 17:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7989998436 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 03:50 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.011 | $13.30 |
| 07-23 03:41 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.011 | $36.00 |
| 07-20 02:26 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0309999969 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 02:25 | Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0089999987 | $7.00 |
| 07-20 02:08 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0119999993 | $17.00 |
| 07-20 02:07 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0119999997 | $44.00 |
| 07-20 01:58 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0117000878 | $12.00 |
| 07-02 03:20 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0819999911 | $8.00 |
| 07-02 03:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1009999909 | $9.00 |
| 06-26 01:51 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.014 | $28.00 |
| 06-26 01:49 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.02641329 | $19.00 |
| 06-26 01:48 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.026 | $4.14 |