PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

003254

0x973b71b0fa41087486d8b582cc65228460ee471a

Realised P&L
$-14.03
Volume
$22.5k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$57.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No0.9990.999$8.00$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6? · No0.9990.997$7.98$0.02
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.9991.000$7.00+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5? · No0.9990.999$7.00$0.00
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7600.525$6.91$3.09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? · Yes0.9981.000$6.01+$0.01
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.9991.000$6.00+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7? · Yes0.9990.996$5.98$0.02
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9910.997$2.82+$0.02
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5 · Over0.2800.000$0.00$6.27
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$6.10
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4100.000$0.00$10.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 08:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7?BUY0.999$6.00
08-02 08:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6?BUY0.999$8.00
08-02 08:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5?BUY0.999$7.00
08-02 08:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4?BUY0.998$6.00
08-02 08:10Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.999$8.00
08-02 08:10Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.999$7.00
08-02 08:09Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.999$6.00
07-19 08:48Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.47$10.57
07-19 08:47Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY0.28$6.10
07-19 08:46Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.83$20.42
07-19 08:46Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.41$10.91
07-19 08:45Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5BUY0.28$6.27
07-04 06:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 7?BUY0.998$15.00
07-04 06:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 6?BUY0.998$12.00
07-04 06:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 5?BUY0.999$6.00