003254
0x973b71b0fa41087486d8b582cc65228460ee471a
- Realised P&L
- $-14.03
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $57.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.91at 0.470Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$4.18at 0.830Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$2.39at 0.790U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
- +$2.09at 0.894Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$0.75at 0.800Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 08:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 08:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 08:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 08:10 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 08:10 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 08:09 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 07-19 08:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.47 | $10.57 |
| 07-19 08:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | BUY | 0.28 | $6.10 |
| 07-19 08:46 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.83 | $20.42 |
| 07-19 08:46 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.41 | $10.91 |
| 07-19 08:45 | Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.28 | $6.27 |
| 07-04 06:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 06:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 07-04 06:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |