PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

giugyugy

0x96eadf49709186f920a16d43c6c93c759c236995

Realised P&L
$-241.19
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$205.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0730.034$204.90$241.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0480.043$0.89$0.11
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$3.00
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders · Maple Leafs0.5200.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 04:40Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0479999551$1.00
03-22 03:01Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.073$248.50
03-21 07:56Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.073$198.00
01-10 01:11Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.69$3.45
01-10 01:10ICE shooter charged by March 31?SELL0.28$7.00
01-09 07:13ICE shooter charged by March 31?BUY0.24$6.00
01-09 07:00Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.68$3.40
01-08 11:23Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.87$5.22
01-07 10:12Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.44$4.40
01-07 10:12Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.65$6.50
01-06 01:52Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.41$4.10
01-06 01:49Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.85$5.10
01-05 10:11Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.7$3.50
01-05 10:10Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.82$4.10
01-05 10:09Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?SELL0.75$7.84