0x96E17Ba97E081732a552F410eb35eE972Cad50aa-1754745531003
0x96e17ba97e081732a552f410eb35ee972cad50aa
- Realised P&L
- $311.1k
- Volume
- $6.68M
- Markets traded
- 313
- Open portfolio
- $17.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded313
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.740 | 0.995 | $17.6k | +$4.5k |
| Auburn vs. Texas A&M · Auburn | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) · Cortez | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.2k |
| Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech · Georgia Tech | 0.342 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Oilers vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.95 |
| Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss · Florida Gators | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Stars vs. Canucks · Canucks | 0.431 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Devils vs. Lightning · Devils | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$853.26 |
| Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.27 |
| Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers · Maryland Terrapins | 0.234 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.5k |
| 49ers vs. Cardinals · Cardinals | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.93 |
| Western Kentucky vs. LSU · Western Kentucky | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$275.22 |
| Senators vs. Rangers · Rangers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Utah vs. Devils · Utah | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Mississippi State vs. Missouri · Mississippi State | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.4kat 0.368Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$30.6kat 0.345South Carolina vs. Texas A&M
- +$27.9kat 0.375Bears vs. Commanders
- +$23.8kat 0.603Lions vs. Eagles
- +$21.5kat 0.573Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:32 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.74 | $423.86 |
| 08-02 19:30 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.74 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 19:13 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.74 | $799.72 |
| 08-02 19:13 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.74 | $2.4k |
| 08-02 19:12 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.74 | $2.5k |
| 08-02 19:12 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.74 | $1.6k |
| 08-02 19:12 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.74 | $443.19 |
| 08-02 19:12 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.74 | $879.71 |
| 08-02 19:11 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.74 | $894.29 |
| 08-02 19:11 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.74 | $466.72 |
| 08-02 19:11 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.74 | $465.53 |
| 07-29 23:02 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.62 | $15.5k |
| 07-19 17:39 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.09 | $2.3k |
| 07-19 16:46 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.09 | $2.3k |
| 07-19 16:02 | Lionel Messi: 3+ goals | BUY | 0.027 | $1.4k |