hailanbao11shuishui
0x96c314ff988269f736d89aad7459f0982bf6d0ef
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $250.3k
- Markets traded
- 592
- Open portfolio
- $587.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded592
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? · Yes | 0.932 | 0.816 | $225.80 | −$32.20 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.800 | $194.15 | −$4.85 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3? · Yes | 0.784 | 0.485 | $108.26 | −$66.74 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.695 | $60.69 | −$8.31 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 1? · No | 0.768 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.39 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.99 |
| Will Solana dip to $75 on July 24? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
| Solana Up or Down on August 1? · Up | 0.485 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.51 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.05 on August 1? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 24? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.05 on July 31? · Yes | 0.436 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.822Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
- +$858.45at 0.640Will XRP dip to $1.10 June 1-7?
- +$713.31at 0.427Will Solana dip to $70 June 1-7?
- +$504.89at 0.639Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?
- +$453.44at 0.448Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.8 | $99.00 |
| 08-03 08:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.7699999975 | $69.00 |
| 08-03 08:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.7099999787 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 13:40 | Will Solana reach $75 on August 2? | BUY | 0.9542168675 | $99.00 |
| 08-02 13:38 | Will XRP reach $1.10 on August 2? | BUY | 0.8599999993 | $99.00 |
| 08-02 13:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on August 2? | BUY | 0.9301812684 | $99.00 |
| 08-02 13:37 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 2? | BUY | 0.88 | $99.00 |
| 08-02 13:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.8899999995 | $99.00 |
| 08-02 13:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4? | SELL | 0.9452952474 | $193.93 |
| 08-02 13:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | SELL | 0.74 | $96.39 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.7599999957 | $99.00 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.8199999979 | $199.00 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $199.00 |
| 08-02 13:30 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 2? | SELL | 0.1317627358 | $14.95 |
| 08-02 13:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 2? | SELL | 0.17 | $19.61 |