msinr36
0x967d6ab1a80e051f02a214e8079d1bcd1032ddd4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $58.0k
- Markets traded
- 420
- Open portfolio
- $102.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded420
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.22at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
- +$78.00at 0.170Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
- +$61.20at 0.470Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang
- +$60.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$55.00at 0.110Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 12:25 | Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.9478055556 | $102.36 |
| 07-29 13:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.93 | $102.30 |
| 07-28 14:40 | Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $103.40 |
| 07-28 14:31 | Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.94 | $103.40 |
| 07-27 15:34 | Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $104.50 |
| 07-27 15:26 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.934 | $93.40 |
| 07-27 05:07 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.934 | $93.40 |
| 07-27 04:17 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.93 | $102.30 |
| 07-26 14:27 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $103.40 |
| 07-24 04:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.9350236364 | $102.85 |
| 07-23 13:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.938 | $103.18 |
| 07-22 04:27 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat? | SELL | 0.9 | $108.00 |
| 07-21 15:03 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat? | BUY | 0.91 | $109.20 |
| 07-21 14:54 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.941 | $111.98 |
| 07-20 14:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.944 | $112.34 |