PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

msinr36

0x967d6ab1a80e051f02a214e8079d1bcd1032ddd4

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$58.0k
Markets traded
420
Open portfolio
$102.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded420
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? · Yes0.9480.948$102.33$0.03
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina · Zdenek Kolar0.3800.000$0.00$17.20
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Charles Broom · Charles Broom0.5710.000$0.00$45.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET · Down0.8300.000$0.00$12.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.8500.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down0.5440.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$3.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00$27.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00$15.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up0.7000.000$0.00$30.00
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$47.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$41.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$9.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 12:25Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?BUY0.9478055556$102.36
07-29 13:59Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?SELL0.93$102.30
07-28 14:40Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?BUY0.94$103.40
07-28 14:31Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?SELL0.94$103.40
07-27 15:34Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?BUY0.95$104.50
07-27 15:26Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?SELL0.934$93.40
07-27 05:07Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.934$93.40
07-27 04:17Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat?SELL0.93$102.30
07-26 14:27Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat?BUY0.94$103.40
07-24 04:56Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?SELL0.9350236364$102.85
07-23 13:26Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?BUY0.938$103.18
07-22 04:27Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?SELL0.9$108.00
07-21 15:03Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?BUY0.91$109.20
07-21 14:54Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?SELL0.941$111.98
07-20 14:20Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?BUY0.944$112.34