Sabrinak8
0x96704dcfcf0869f44254a660b030d6501184a492
- Realised P&L
- $14.25
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $27.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.998 | $27.93 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on February 11? · No | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.04at 0.990Suns vs. Bucks
- +$0.79at 0.920Will Blue Moon be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$0.64at 0.970Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?
- +$0.59at 0.940Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 22 be greater than 1,900,000?
- +$0.58at 0.970Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:01 | Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 08-01 06:57 | Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 07-28 05:33 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 07-27 18:56 | Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 07-18 13:54 | Will Solana reach $90 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 07-01 21:47 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.95 |
| 06-29 08:27 | GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.84 |
| 06-25 13:04 | Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.98 |
| 06-14 10:24 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | SELL | 0.991 | $14.87 |
| 06-13 22:57 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 06-12 11:08 | Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100? | BUY | 0.996 | $27.89 |
| 05-31 19:16 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $15.84 |
| 05-30 18:16 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $15.52 |
| 05-29 07:18 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.84 |
| 05-28 06:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $69.86 |