0x9657949765F3a28600467Bad514cd8E8ED7ab56a-1757041919093
0x9657949765f3a28600467bad514cd8e8ed7ab56a
- Realised P&L
- $345.70
- Volume
- $44.0k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $781.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$343.48at 0.991US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$296.84at 0.521Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
- +$161.53at 0.810US government shutdown in 2025?
- +$147.96at 0.860Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
- +$138.02at 0.820Cowboys vs. Eagles
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 20:49 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.6499999985 | $64.51 |
| 07-19 19:07 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.418999993 | $14.00 |
| 07-16 10:52 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 10:52 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8929999942 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 10:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 10:47 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.417 | $62.55 |
| 07-15 15:40 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.7658479252 | $407.91 |
| 07-15 15:40 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.83 | $415.00 |
| 07-15 15:37 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $44.73 |
| 07-14 01:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.345 | $8.64 |
| 07-12 22:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2085618 | $208.56 |
| 07-12 04:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.203 | $20.30 |
| 07-12 04:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.203 | $20.30 |
| 07-11 12:33 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | BUY | 0.4856814648 | $56.23 |
| 07-11 12:29 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7 | $100.00 |