scoobysko
0x9620e64a37b387134e44a8dc1c7cbae486f5857a
- Realised P&L
- $-24.14
- Volume
- $372.95
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $4.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.015 | $1.63 | −$0.37 |
| Celonis IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.110 | $1.10 | −$0.40 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.065 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.075 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudee · Nikola Bartunkova | 0.438 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Gay" in June? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by July 31? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.60 |
| Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30? · Yes | 0.399 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.20at 0.580Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$3.81at 0.420Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$-0.56at 0.056President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?
- +$-1.00at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 12:20 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 12:13 | Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudee | BUY | 0.4379997582 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 12:30 | Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by July 31? | BUY | 0.0842008977 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 06:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 06:42 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 10:51 | Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30? | BUY | 0.3989999996 | $3.00 |
| 06-24 07:33 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.74 | $8.81 |
| 06-17 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 08:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 08:31 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0189999908 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 08:29 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 10:04 | Libema Open (Doubles): Gille/Verbeek vs Pavlasek/Rikl | BUY | 0.3499999192 | $1.95 |
| 06-11 07:15 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 06-11 07:13 | Will Trump say "Gay" in June? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 06-11 07:12 | President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | BUY | 0.056 | $0.56 |