0x95B7A5C9a62c9b1A3e1bd7d6826e6aA493ffd633-1762720081748
0x95b7a5c9a62c9b1a3e1bd7d6826e6aa493ffd633
- Realised P&L
- $17.8k
- Volume
- $4.05M
- Markets traded
- 1,857
- Open portfolio
- $25.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,857
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.308 | 0.055 | $24.61 | −$113.25 |
| Joe Burrow traded to the Jets? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.006 | $0.55 | −$9.49 |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) · Rockets | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$517.00 |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) · Sweden | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$396.00 |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) · Lakers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$550.00 |
| Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 161.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$571.87 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.00 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.20 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? · Down | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$465.79 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.64 |
| 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$561.00 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5) · Michigan Wolverines | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$472.77 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · Getafe CF | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$691.52 |
| Magic vs. Heat: O/U 235.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.99 |
| Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.1kat 0.318Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
- +$2.2kat 0.203Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
- +$1.8kat 0.903US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.086Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
- +$1.5kat 0.543Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 00:55 | Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 07-11 01:59 | Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.53 | $212.00 |
| 07-09 21:37 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3346041421 | $422.17 |
| 07-09 21:06 | Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $82.50 |
| 06-25 00:59 | Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.72 | $435.66 |
| 06-22 23:59 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.28 | $171.71 |
| 06-22 23:39 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $334.52 |
| 06-22 23:38 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 06-11 05:52 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.38 |
| 06-03 18:25 | Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $157.30 |
| 06-03 13:17 | Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5) | SELL | 0.51 | $2.98 |
| 06-03 12:08 | Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.82 | $332.92 |
| 05-31 16:16 | Germany vs. Finland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.78 | $77.22 |
| 05-29 01:42 | Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $549.41 |
| 05-28 04:36 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28? | BUY | 0.78 | $304.58 |