MIhael058
0x959019c5526d5aee4bee217db30459e2b4eb4356
- Realised P&L
- $-42.80
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $144.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.965 | 0.961 | $48.05 | −$0.20 |
| Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.948 | 0.945 | $47.23 | −$0.17 |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.927 | $46.38 | −$1.13 |
| Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No | 0.969 | 0.999 | $3.22 | +$0.10 |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.40at 0.952Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
- +$1.65at 0.967Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?
- +$0.80at 0.969Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
- +$0.75at 0.964Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?
- +$0.50at 0.940Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 12:05 | Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $20.00 |