Alag
0x958f86cea4459682f184df1353e9a3f0091a5465
- Realised P&L
- $-113.31
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $85.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.35at 0.230Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?
- +$105.15at 0.299Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
- +$101.56at 0.327Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
- +$86.75at 0.570Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
- +$54.30at 0.276Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-04 15:32 | Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026? | SELL | 0.043 | $3.35 |
| 02-01 16:14 | Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $8.49 |
| 01-28 18:43 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $36.40 |
| 01-24 19:19 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY | 0.57 | $160.74 |
| 01-24 12:47 | Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | SELL | 0.871 | $130.65 |
| 01-19 14:16 | Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.92 |
| 01-19 14:13 | Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.11 | $26.48 |
| 01-18 19:32 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $280.80 |
| 01-17 16:36 | Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.148 | $9.77 |
| 01-17 14:28 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $276.66 |
| 01-12 06:05 | Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.14 | $35.00 |
| 01-12 06:01 | Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.089 | $5.87 |
| 01-12 05:56 | Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $34.80 |
| 01-11 18:56 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $276.66 |
| 01-11 18:00 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $3.50 |