choosename
0x957a56902495ede0f4e1ec592a6417208c57c0f7
- Realised P&L
- $382.00
- Volume
- $60.4k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $679.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.943 | 0.958 | $382.99 | +$5.80 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.987 | $296.10 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$328.80at 0.329Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
- +$74.53at 0.851Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?
- +$24.24at 0.264Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in his first 100 days?
- +$19.41at 0.510Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?
- +$17.17at 0.811Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:36 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 08-04 09:35 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? | BUY | 0.989975 | $198.00 |
| 07-16 02:20 | Will Lionel Messi score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 07-16 02:20 | Will Lionel Messi score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $348.95 |
| 07-09 13:15 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.943 | $144.74 |
| 07-09 13:00 | Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.981 | $196.20 |
| 07-09 12:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $334.72 |
| 07-03 02:40 | Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? | SELL | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 06-30 09:23 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $179.10 |
| 06-30 09:22 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $108.67 |
| 06-27 08:19 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by July 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $12.81 |
| 06-27 08:18 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by July 31? | BUY | 0.9888417221 | $124.95 |
| 06-27 07:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $123.01 |
| 06-27 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on June 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 06-27 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on June 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |