PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sleepyvector

0x947b05899f7013954e934a10707f6df05a3b4c2b

Realised P&L
$73.93
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 3? · Yes0.0911.000$99.95+$90.86
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.999$99.85+$90.76
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.999$99.85+$90.76
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.998$99.80+$90.71
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.997$99.70+$90.61
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.997$99.65+$90.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.996$99.60+$90.51
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.995$99.50+$90.41
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.930$93.00+$83.91
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.755$75.50+$66.41
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.131$13.10+$4.01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.075$7.50$1.59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.065$6.50$2.59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.025$2.50$6.59
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.015$1.50$7.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 19:59Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 11?SELL0.98$6.13
06-11 19:05Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 12?SELL0.99$1.70
06-11 14:17Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?SELL0.494$0.92
06-11 14:13Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?SELL0.564$5.64
06-11 14:12Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?SELL0.5$7.91
06-11 11:56Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 11?SELL0.9855$15.77
06-09 15:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10?SELL0.99$39.85
06-09 15:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10?SELL0.99$230.73
06-09 15:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10?BUY0.99$270.58
06-08 20:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 8?BUY0.7$2.10
06-08 20:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 8?BUY0.69$4.14
06-07 17:58Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 7?BUY0.895$89.50
06-05 16:44Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?BUY0.6920045045$33.80
06-05 16:44Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?BUY0.68$7.48
06-05 16:43Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?BUY0.69$15.86