sleepyvector
0x947b05899f7013954e934a10707f6df05a3b4c2b
- Realised P&L
- $73.93
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.82at 0.565Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 11?
- +$40.91at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 3?
- +$40.91at 0.500Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on August 3?
- +$40.91at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on August 3?
- +$40.91at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 11? | SELL | 0.98 | $6.13 |
| 06-11 19:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 12? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.70 |
| 06-11 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11? | SELL | 0.494 | $0.92 |
| 06-11 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11? | SELL | 0.564 | $5.64 |
| 06-11 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? | SELL | 0.5 | $7.91 |
| 06-11 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 11? | SELL | 0.9855 | $15.77 |
| 06-09 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10? | SELL | 0.99 | $39.85 |
| 06-09 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10? | SELL | 0.99 | $230.73 |
| 06-09 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $270.58 |
| 06-08 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 8? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.10 |
| 06-08 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 8? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.14 |
| 06-07 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 7? | BUY | 0.895 | $89.50 |
| 06-05 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5? | BUY | 0.6920045045 | $33.80 |
| 06-05 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5? | BUY | 0.68 | $7.48 |
| 06-05 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5? | BUY | 0.69 | $15.86 |