yq06n8c7onze
0x93ece09d5e944fd2c37ecfdd93db37fb64b117c6
- Realised P&L
- $-12.18
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $87.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.85at 0.246Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 1?
- +$52.42at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 31?
- +$22.26at 0.309Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 3?
- +$18.81at 0.184Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 2?
- +$15.59at 0.242Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1544669923 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1820146402 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 15:47 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2260193473 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.998 | $32.26 |
| 08-02 21:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1422771824 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 21:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3465346411 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.3861386035 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3349753492 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.315270936 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 16:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2393123121 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2266009717 | $10.00 |