PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

FredericM

0x93724e69d3b4ebe7c45c71a526e82613c59a5093

Realised P&L
$-435.61
Volume
$65.2k
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$106.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? · Yes0.8400.875$35.00+$1.40
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in August? · Yes0.8100.690$13.80$2.40
Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · No0.6400.685$13.70+$0.90
Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? · No0.8200.630$12.60$3.80
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? · Yes0.6770.325$12.41$13.43
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · No0.7000.575$11.50$2.50
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 21, 2026? · Yes0.9000.405$8.10$9.90
Will anyone say "Trump" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00$20.22
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.3720.000$0.00$7.45
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? · Down0.3150.000$0.00$12.60
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$17.20
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00$5.15
Will anyone say "Pink" 10+ times during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 10:47Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?SELL0.9$0.75
08-01 10:44Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by less than 5%?SELL0.18$3.60
07-14 18:16Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3725$7.45
07-06 19:20Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?BUY0.16$1.60
07-06 19:18Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0550857143$19.28
07-06 17:38Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.67$6.70
07-06 17:36Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?SELL0.54$10.80
07-05 09:45Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?SELL0.017$0.34
07-04 22:10FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?SELL0.16$3.20
07-04 22:09FDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine?SELL0.085$1.70
07-03 05:50Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.84$42.00
07-03 05:49Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.55$11.00
07-03 05:49Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.86$17.20
07-02 21:14Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.39$7.80
07-02 16:48Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.515$10.30