FredericM
0x93724e69d3b4ebe7c45c71a526e82613c59a5093
- Realised P&L
- $-435.61
- Volume
- $65.2k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $106.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.00at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$50.76at 0.330Will Berachain launch in 2024?
- +$32.07at 0.402Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?
- +$30.00at 0.030Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
- +$17.65at 0.221Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 10:47 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.75 |
| 08-01 10:44 | Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 07-14 18:16 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3725 | $7.45 |
| 07-06 19:20 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 07-06 19:18 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0550857143 | $19.28 |
| 07-06 17:38 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 07-06 17:36 | Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 07-05 09:45 | Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.34 |
| 07-04 22:10 | FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 07-04 22:09 | FDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine? | SELL | 0.085 | $1.70 |
| 07-03 05:50 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 07-03 05:49 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 07-03 05:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 07-02 21:14 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 07-02 16:48 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.515 | $10.30 |