0x935C0C72aD3FdccE1B8313Ec9EA775460ddc19E7-1780966426389
0x935c0c72ad3fdcce1b8313ec9ea775460ddc19e7
- Realised P&L
- $-32.32
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $2.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.810 | $2.43 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.50at 0.370Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?
- +$0.50at 0.240Will Russia capture Pokrovka by December 31?
- +$0.50at 0.100Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?
- +$0.30at 0.680Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
- +$0.30at 0.130Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $435,000 on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 23:22 | Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $25.90 |
| 07-20 21:04 | Maduro guilty of all counts? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 07-20 17:29 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $21.25 |
| 07-20 16:28 | Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.40 |
| 07-20 15:27 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $21.50 |
| 07-20 00:31 | Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $31.50 |
| 07-20 00:29 | Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $31.50 |
| 07-19 21:42 | Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 07-19 19:38 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 07-19 16:53 | Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $13.50 |
| 07-19 16:34 | Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.80 |
| 07-19 15:39 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | SELL | 0.77 | $11.55 |
| 07-19 15:35 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.84 | $12.60 |
| 07-19 06:35 | Will 260 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.92 | $23.00 |
| 07-19 06:09 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |