kayhodkiewic
0x931d6491f8cabda2ce00944786c8d2ea7edc6fdb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $39.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-50.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.520 | $39.22 | +$1.51 |
| Gao vs. Fruhvirtova: Match O/U 21.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.55 |
| NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat · Miami Heat | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.95 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 180.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.18at 0.460Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
- +$3.26at 0.490Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5
- +$2.62at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$2.60at 0.500New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $19.64 |
| 07-31 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.62 |
| 07-13 09:04 | NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat | BUY | 0.5 | $2.80 |
| 02-01 08:11 | Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $1.2k |