hypocrisya
0x930eaa0aab7d269b7e0940c0baff9409e39138cf
- Realised P&L
- $7.4k
- Volume
- $1.41M
- Markets traded
- 928
- Open portfolio
- $348.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded928
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.844 | 0.968 | $120.45 | +$15.43 |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.934 | 0.971 | $111.07 | +$4.27 |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.855 | 0.895 | $89.50 | +$4.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.825 | $8.25 | +$1.15 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.750 | $7.49 | +$2.90 |
| Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.685 | $6.85 | +$2.05 |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.039 | $2.73 | −$15.22 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.505 | $2.52 | +$1.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$425.27at 0.035Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
- +$389.81at 0.043Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
- +$388.24at 0.089Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
- +$258.10at 0.030Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
- +$162.53at 0.110Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:32 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | SELL | 0.28 | $247.32 |
| 08-02 11:18 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.15184 | $75.92 |
| 08-01 16:32 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | SELL | 0.13 | $2.16 |
| 07-31 15:19 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 07-31 14:07 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | SELL | 0.56 | $54.87 |
| 07-31 13:22 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.0473640708 | $10.11 |
| 07-30 13:29 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.06 | $2.46 |
| 07-22 18:19 | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.855 | $85.50 |
| 07-22 18:13 | Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.162 | $3.55 |
| 07-19 19:38 | Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.88 |
| 07-19 18:27 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.03 | $2.70 |
| 07-19 18:26 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.05 | $32.74 |
| 07-19 17:29 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | SELL | 0.19 | $14.31 |
| 07-19 15:54 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | SELL | 0.39 | $28.43 |
| 07-19 15:50 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.14 | $126.00 |