cobatuyul
0x92962fdb9b9f6870d1b246e05e4d6f2d3c40e590
- Realised P&L
- $-40.33
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 585
- Open portfolio
- $7.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded585
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.82at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$3.70at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
- +$3.50at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$3.33at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$3.02at 0.154Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.80 |
| 08-04 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.77 |
| 08-04 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.10 |
| 08-03 00:49 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.54 |
| 08-02 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.44 |
| 08-02 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.009296 | $1.02 |
| 08-02 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0041638182 | $0.46 |
| 08-02 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.10 |
| 08-01 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.01455763 | $1.00 |