seldominthemoney
0x9295097f85620965bc751aa416504dbc8cdef3e1
- Realised P&L
- $-0.22
- Volume
- $89.00
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $8.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.996 | $5.50 | +$4.50 |
| UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims) · Manoel Sousa | 0.710 | 0.705 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.421 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.395 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.025 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.005 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win Titled Tuesday on August 4? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 30? · Down | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:50 | Will Alireza Firouzja win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 05:44 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.1809522586 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 05:37 | Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 05:05 | UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 07:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 06:45 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0312677102 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 06:44 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0514902 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 05:02 | Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 04:55 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |